Hey guys. Hope everyone is staying safe. What an absolute crazy 13 months. I hope you and your families are all healthy.
I’ve been in this business close to 20 years and I’ve seen pretty much everything when it comes to the economic housing ups and downs. With rates being where they’re at right now, we’ve never seen this before. There has never been a time in history when somebody could obtain a 30 year fixed mortgage under 3% with no points. There’s really only one reason why the rates are where they are and that’s because of the pandemic. They had to do something to keep parts of the economy moving or We would’ve fallen deeper into a recession. Unfortunately, a lot of people were scared to list their house which I don’t blame them, which resulted in a huge lack of inventory. Right now inventory is down and the homes that come on the market are selling within minutes as long as they’re priced fair in regards to what they’re selling. Lack of inventory is pushing up prices as people are willing to pray a premium, offer appraisal guarantees and in some cases pay $10-$20,000 over the asking price just to get into a home because unfortunately they don’t have a choice. Is it a good idea, not really because if the market decreases at all or corrects itself, you’re losing.
My take on it is this, rates where they’re at right now are keeping people refinancing/buying and keeping the market moving. People are definitely wanting to buy, they’re just having a hard time finding what they want. Even though prices are up, rates are down over 1% from this time last year therefore allowing you to purchase more of a home at a higher price for less of a monthly payment.
I expect we’re going to see a correction in housing and an interest rates sometime this year. With everything that’s going on with the newly elected officials, gas prices I’m sure are going to rise, and I believe interest rates will head back close to where they were in late summer / early fall of 2019. Once that happens, I feel that prices will See a correction and more homes will become available to purchase.
What I can tell you is this, if people are waiting for the rates to fall to below 2% , the chances of that ever happening are slim to none. Remember, we’ve never seen rates where they are at today, ever.
Stay safe